Category Archives: General

More iPhone Cluelessness

(9/3/2011: Publishing this 4 years after I wrote it)

Man, people sure are dumb.

Back in January, a market research company called iSupply published an estimate of the bill of materials (BOM) cost of the iPhone, based on the publicly available specifications. Their analysis suggested that Apple was selling the iPhone for 50% more than the cost of the parts in side. After the iPhone shipped, iSupply followed up on their analysis by doing a teardown of an actual iPhone and creating an estimate based on the actual components they found inside. Their new estimate was quite close to their original estimate. At about the same time, Business week published a story based on a very similar estimate from another firm.

These numbers have all sorts of people bent out of shape. There are those who resent the fact that Apple seems to be making a fat lot of cash on the product they are lusting for. Then there are those who seem to feel a need to apologize for just how much cash apple seems to be making by explaining that those estimates are first, only estimates, and two, don’t take into account important costs, like engineering, marketing.

John Gruber bitches that iSupply’s estimate doesn’t take into account things like “Build quality, packaging, shipping,” and also that iSupply includes an estimate of the cost of the operating system @ $7 a unit.

Charles Arthur of the Guardian also has a few beefs with the iPhone teardown analysis, complaining that it leaves out both the hard work and some intangible magic that went into creating the iPhone in the first place.

John & Arthur, here is a clue. iSuppli knows more about the manufacturing costs of cell phones and other electronic goods than you and I do. They have a lot of data at their command for estimating the costs of hardware, software, manufacturing, packaging etc, all of which are part of their report. They sweat the fine print too — the original published estimate includes a $0.40 line item. I would guess their estimate of the OS cost is based on the typical license cost for a “smartphone.”

Are these estimates perfect, HELL NO, which is why they are called estimates. John and Arthur are right to make the point that too many people are accepting them as fact, but they are the best chance anyone outside of Apple & its manufacturing partner have at coming up with a basis for comparison with other similar products (Yes yes, the iPhone is in a class by itself, but face it, people are comparing it to the Treo or the Q).

Does apple sell the iPhone version of OSX, again, hell no, but the makers of other phones are paying license fees for the OS they are using.

Is the iPhone experience a step above that of smartphones? Again, hell yes, but that isn’t really the point of a BOM exercise. The R&D to make the iPhone as cool as it is is what is called a fixed cost. The R&D cost of the iPhone doesn’t change based on volume. It’s money Apple had to spend, whether they end up selling 10 iphones, or 10 million.

The BOM costs are a major part of the variable costs of the iPhone. Each iPhone Apple sells increments the variable cost to the company. The BOM isn’t the only variable cost for the iPhone, there are support costs, etc. These costs can be sub

My Take on Someone Elses Take on One Month With the iPhone

Dave Weiner writes about his first month with an iPhone. I generally share his criticisms, but he gets off to a rough start by resorting to a common but intellectually dishonest journalistic touch at the beginning

He uncritically restates the overly simplistic headline of a NY Times story, (thereby reinforcing it) and takes it at face value as a segway into the rest of his own piece.

The NY Times reports that iPhone sales are disappointing, I’d like to add that the product itself is disappointing.

This is a problem, because the NY Times story draws shakey conclusions based on suspect and incomplete data. The only data available when that story was written was the # of iPhone activations on AT&Ts service over the first 30 hours after launch. That number is not the same as the number of phones Apple sold in the first weekend, it doesn’t count Sunday, July 1st, and it doesn’t take into account the phones that people didn’t activate immediately, either because of AT&Ts systems problems that first weekend, or because the buyer didn’t have time right away.

The NYT compares the 142K phones activated in the first 30 hours to the most wildly optimistic estimates of iPhone sales for the entire weekend.

As to his critique, I agree that rendering full web pages intended for desktop browsers isn’t the ultimate mobile web experience, but I don’t think Apple thinks that is the whole story. By making the web at large practical for mobile users, Apple brings more mobile users to the web at large. This creates a larger installed base, which creates incentive for publishers to invest more effort in creating optimal experiences for users of small-form-factor devices. Plus, mobile safari gives them a rich platform for developing that experience. Apple has provided a mobile device with backwards compatibility on the web, while also providing the incentive for 3rd party developers to take advantage of the new features provided by the platform.

Uruguay got Screwed!

So, it just occurred to me, it would be cool to own the “in.ur” domain, because then you could sell people URLs like “im.in.ur/base/killing/all/ur/d00dz” (if I have to explain to you why this is desirable, you probably don’t want to know).

So, I figure .ur must be the top level domain for Uruguay, and so I set about trying to find out how who the Uruguayan registrar is. Man, was I disappointed! Uruguay’s tld isn’t “.ur,” it’s “.uy.” If they controlled UR, they’d be set selling URLs to internet goofballs obsessed with a silly meme and bringing in useful foreign currency.

Phone Pheast and Phamine

At this time last week, I had two cell phones, a new employer provided iPhone, and my old samsung flip-phone for my Verizon account that I was going to port over to AT&T.

Now I have no cell phones. The iPhone is with my employer, who is trying it out for a few days before I port my cell number over to the AT&T account.

The Samsung is in a waterproof pouch, somewhere in Lake Washington. It is apparently close enough to the surface that it is still on the cell network, because when I call it, it rings a number of times before going to voicemail.

Goddamn Google

Sometime in the last few months, Google rolled out an update to Google Talk that gave the option of logging my chats to Gmail, rather than my local hard disk. I installed the update, but said “no thank you” to the Google-side logging. Today I realize that means I don’t have a local chat log anymore either.

I don’t like it, they took away a feature, and they only way I can get it back is give up more of my privacy.